Former President Donald Trump’s supporters remain unwavering in their commitment to him, even in the face of a potential felony conviction prior to the November election.
According to the Voters’ Voice Poll conducted by The Center Square in collaboration with Noble Predictive Insights, a staggering 84% of Trump supporters affirm their unwavering loyalty by stating that they would vote for him in the upcoming November election, even if he were to be convicted of a felony prior to the election.
According to David Byler of Noble Predictive Insights, it is possible that the count might be lower than expected.
According to Byler, the figure of eight out of ten Trump voters who would continue to support him even if he is convicted of a felony may come across as surprisingly high. However, he believes that this estimate actually underestimates the level of loyalty among Trump voters. Byler points out that in the past, Trump has experienced temporary loss of support during scandals. Nevertheless, he has consistently managed to regain the support of his wayward followers through the use of persuasive messaging and by presenting himself as the preferable alternative.
Among Trump supporters, 9% expressed uncertainty about their voting intentions if Trump were convicted. Additionally, 5% indicated that they would vote for a third-party candidate in such a scenario. Interestingly, 2% of Trump backers stated that they would even support Biden if Trump faced conviction.
According to Byler, if Trump is convicted, he may not keep all of his voters, but the actual number could be even higher than the approximately eight out of ten mentioned.
According to a recent survey, a majority of likely voters believe that Donald Trump will not be convicted of any of the charges he is facing in the four separate indictments. Out of the respondents, 35% expressed their belief that Trump would be convicted of a felony, while 45% believed that he would not be convicted. The remaining 20% were unsure about the outcome.
When it comes to party affiliation, the figures reveal that it plays a significant role. Among Democrats, a majority of 57% anticipate a felony conviction, while 23% are of the opinion that it won’t happen, and 19% are unsure about the outcome. On the other hand, among likely Republican voters, only 14% believe that Trump will be convicted, with a substantial 66% expressing their belief in no conviction, and 20% remaining uncertain.
President Joe Biden is set to face a unique challenge as he campaigns against former President Trump, who has become the first ex-president to be indicted. With a total of 88 felony charges spread across four cases in Florida, Georgia, New York, and Washington, Trump finds himself dealing with federal charges in two cases and state charges in New York and Georgia.
According to Byler, Trump’s main concern lies not in the verdict itself, but rather in his own character. Byler believes that when it comes to questions of character, Biden surpasses Trump, particularly in terms of honesty, trustworthiness, and other personal virtues.
According to recent general election polls, Trump holds a slight advantage over Biden. A survey conducted by The Center Square’s Voters’ Voice Poll reveals that Trump is leading Biden by a margin of 46% to 45% among likely voters, falling within the poll’s margin of error of ±2%. However, a significant portion of the respondents remain undecided. It is worth noting that Trump’s lead widens when taking into account third-party candidates who may potentially draw votes away from Biden.
According to Byler, one of the reasons why Trump is leading in this election is because it is being contested on topics where he has an advantage over Biden, such as the border. However, he also notes that if voters are constantly exposed to news about Trump’s felony conviction and begin to question his personal character, it could potentially sway key swing voters towards Biden.
According to Byler, winning a court case won’t be enough to secure victory in the election for either side.
According to a statement, “Even when considering the judiciary, many Americans find it difficult to stop favoring their own side. If a verdict goes against Trump, Republicans will rally behind him. The same applies to Biden, as his core supporters would stand by him if he were to face significant legal issues. This is why courts struggle to sway public opinion in political cases since many individuals place more trust in their political leaders than in judges and juries.”
Jury selection for Trump’s first criminal trial is scheduled to begin on April 15. Trump has pleaded not guilty to 34 felony counts in relation to the hush money case. The charges allege that he paid off Stormy Daniels through a lawyer before the 2016 presidential election and disguised it as a legal expense.