According to the most recent voter snapshot from Wisconsin, former President Trump has gained a slight edge and a bit of momentum.
According to the most recent Marquette Law School Poll, the former president is currently leading President Joe Biden by a slim margin of 51-49 among both registered and likely voters.
According to MU Poll director Charles Franklin, he informed reporters that the situation is still extremely close.
The poll was recently conducted between April 3-10, 2024, and involved interviews with 814 registered voters. The margin of error for the poll is estimated to be +/-4.8 percentage points.
According to Franklin, 8% of registered voters and 6% of likely voters expressed their uncertainty when asked by pollsters.
According to Franklin, the numbers change when more candidates are added to the mix, but Trump still maintains his lead. The 51-49 number only applies to a head-to-head matchup.
According to the poll, when considering all registered voters and including additional candidates, Trump receives the support of 41%, Biden 40%, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 13%, Green Party candidate Jill Stein 3%, and Cornel West 2%. In a five-way race among likely voters, Trump leads with 42% support, followed closely by Biden with 41%. Kennedy garners 12% support, while Stein and West receive 3% and 1% respectively.
According to Franklin, a major concern for Biden is whether his voters will come out and support him at the polls.
According to Franklin, Biden supporters or potential supporters may not be overly enthusiastic about him. However, they still hold a preference for him and are likely to vote in his favor. The key factor to watch for is whether this lack of enthusiasm will result in a lower voter turnout for Democrats.
According to Franklin, the data does not appear to indicate that it is a problem.
During the polling process, individuals were also questioned about the U.S. Senate race in Wisconsin.
According to the latest poll, Tammy Baldwin, a Democrat, currently holds a 44% share of the vote among registered voters. On the other hand, Eric Hovde, a Republican candidate, has secured 37% of the vote. Meanwhile, 15% of the voters remain undecided.
Among likely voters, the support for Baldwin stands at 45%, while Hovde follows closely behind at 41%. However, there is still a significant portion of voters, around 15%, who remain undecided.
The high number of undecided voters aligns with Hovde’s favorability rating in the recent poll.
According to pollsters, Baldwin’s favorability rating stands at 47%, while her unfavorability rating is at 42%. This puts her net favorability at +5. In comparison, back in January, her net favorability stood at -3. As for Hovde, he is seen favorably by 19% of the respondents, while 24% view him unfavorably. A majority of 56% responded that they haven’t heard enough about him.
According to the MU Poll, voters have a negative view of the presidential race.
According to the pollsters, Joe Biden has a negative opinion rating of 59% and a positive opinion rating of 40%, resulting in a net rating of -19. On the other hand, Donald Trump has a negative opinion rating of 56% and a positive opinion rating of 43%, resulting in a net rating of -13.
According to Franklin, the foremost concerns among voters in Wisconsin revolve around their economic well-being, followed by border security and the topic of abortion.
According to the MU Poll, the economy was the top concern for 33% of the respondents, followed by immigration and border security at 21%. Abortion policy was a concern for 13% of the participants, while Medicare and Social Security ranked at 11%. Foreign relations, healthcare, and the Israel-Gaza war were of lesser concern, with 6%, 5%, and 2% of respondents mentioning them, respectively.
